Guest Blog: Pickmoto Players as Good as ESPN Pickers?

Editor’s note: This blog is a series from Pickmoto, a fantasy sports mobile app.

WEEK 12

We’ve put a bullseye on the ESPN “Experts” this season. We’ve dissected who among the dozen is label worthy (Mort, Wickersham) and who is definitely not (Jackson, Ditka, Allen).

This week, instead of comparing ESPNers, let’s take a look at how they fare as a group against another tribe of opinionated NFL fans: the Pickmoto community.

The most interesting games are those with the strongest disagreement. So, we isolated games where each team received 4 to 8 of the 12 ESPNers’ picks. So far, 43 games qualified (8 in Week 12 alone).

For each of those games, we awarded a point to the group with the higher % that correctly picked the winning team. For example, for Redskins v. Cowboys, ESPN scores a point because 7/12 or 58% of ESPNers vs. 51% of Pickmotoers took the ‘Skins.

The final total is ESPN 22, PM 20, Tie 1. It was tied, but the ESPNers inched ahead with a 5 to 3 advantage in Week 12.

If you’ve read this far, then numbers and %s don’t nauseate you. So for the 4 of you left, we’ll continue.

Among the 43 games, there were 9 games with a 20+% difference. PM won 7 to 2. And among the 25 games with a 10+% difference, PM won 14 to 11… Wow you’re still with us!

Ok ok, just one more semi-interesting stat. The Falcons and Steelers had the most wins of the 43 games. Pickmotoers were 4-0-1 in the Falcons wins and 0-4 in the Steelers wins. So, the PM community is savvy to the Falcons and underestimates the Steelers.

We can go on and on slicing the numbers and trotting out slight hypotheses. Bottom line, the “Experts” and the PM community are about equal. The ESPNers have a slight edge if you include all 43 games. The Pickmotoers have an edge in games with the clearest difference of opinion.

Bottom-er line, you guys don’t call yourselves “Experts” so neither should ESPN.

ESPN Experts Leaderboard – Week 12
-Everyone starts with 300 points.

+Seth Wickersham – 743
+Chris Mortensen – 648
+Merrill Hoge – 362
+Adam Schefter – 335
+Ron Jaworski – 332
+Cris Carter – 284
Keyshawn Johnson – 247
Mark Schlereth – 238
Mike Golic – 237
+Tom Jackson – 191
+Mike Ditka – 183
Eric Allen – 71

In Week 12, the strong separated from the weak. All of the Top-6 gained ground. Wickersham and Mort keep climbing. Week after week, they net points with a savvy sprinkling of underdog picks. This week, they went against the grain with the Browns and Jags and those picks accounted for much of their point gains. Wickersham is actually inching closer to the Top 20 Overall on Pickmoto, which is really impressive because he doesn’t use gold pins … and doesn’t even know he’s playing.

Elsewhere, Tom Jackson(!) had the best pick record (12-4) and the best week in points besides Wick and Mort. Note the backhanded exclamation point.

Eric Allen dropped closer still to 0. It’ll be close, but if he keeps picking the Cardinals and Eagles to win football games, he’ll get there.

Pickmoto is fun, quick, easy competition. It recreates the fantasy sports experience on mobile. Its first game for the 2012 NFL season is free for iPhone and iPad. Its second game for the NBA season just hit the AppStore.

Pickmoto asks the most basic question in sports – which teams will win. It’s pick’em with a twist: there’s a crowdsourced scoring system that rewards correct picks based on their popularity – the less popular, the more points.

Guest Blog: Pickmoto Tracks the ESPN NFL Experts

Editor’s note: This blog is a series from Pickmoto, a fantasy sports mobile app.

WEEK 11

As you might expect in a week in which Favorites nearly ran the table, the ESPNers shined. None were as perfect as 33 Pickmotoers, but Golic, Jaws, Schlereth, and Carter came close, only whiffing on the Rams. And Hoge, Mort, Wickersham, Jackson, and Ditka were right behind with 1 wrong pick on top of the Rams. Even Allen went 10-3 and gained a point.

Schefter and Johnson were the only two who lost ground. But they were also the only two who picked the underdog Panthers, a near hit, which would have been enough to flip their Week 11 fortunes to positive.

Naturally, we feel compelled to claw back some of the credit we just dispensed. Besides the Panthers, the morning games nearly gave us 4 other big upsets. The Jags, Browns, and Lions were all winning heading into the 4th Quarter and the Cardinals were tied. Not one ESPNer picked any of them. Ultimately, they were right, but what turned out to be a stellar week almost fell apart early Sunday. Considering what heavy underdogs they were, we actually would have respected wrong picks more.

Finally, glad to hear that Ditka is doing better.

ESPN Experts Leaderboard – Week 11
-Everyone starts with 300 points.

+Seth Wickersham – 694
+Chris Mortensen – 616
+Merrill Hoge – 340
Adam Schefter – 319
+Ron Jaworski – 310
Keyshawn Johnson – 275
+Mike Golic – 263
+Mark Schlereth – 249
+Cris Carter – 223
+Mike Ditka – 175
+Tom Jackson – 145
+Eric Allen – 84

Pickmoto is fun, quick, easy competition. It recreates the fantasy sports experience on mobile. Its first game for the 2012 NFL season is free for iPhone and iPad. Its second game for the NBA season just hit the AppStore.

Pickmoto asks the most basic question in sports – which teams will win. It’s pick’em with a twist: there’s a crowdsourced scoring system that rewards correct picks based on their popularity – the less popular, the more points.

Guest Blog: Pickmoto Tracks the ESPN NFL Pickers

Editor’s note: This blog is a series from Pickmoto, a fantasy sports mobile app.

WEEK 10

Wickersham and Mortensen keep on climbing. Wickersham has gained points in 9!!! of 10 weeks and Mort has in 8 of 10. As the leaderboard illustrates, they are in a tier of their own – the Experts of the “Experts”. They didn’t take any big upsets in Week 10. Just smart, sound picking. Mort was one of only (surprisingly) two ESPNers who took the Vikings over the Lions. That’s the sort of pick that really impresses us: two fairly evenly-matched teams and Mort correctly picked the less popular, less sexy Vikings.

Merrill Hoge was the week’s big winner as he was the lone man to correctly take the Bengals over the Giants. That was quite a pick: the Bengals, who hadn’t really beaten anyone of note this year, took down the defending Super Bowl Champs. And it wasn’t even close.

On the other end of the spectrum, again, was Eric Allen. He managed to go 6-8 even though he basically just took favorites. The only underdog he took – the Chargers – was the typical misguided pick of someone not paying attention. Despite big names at QB, TE and a “genius” offensive head coach, the Chargers are much worse than their reputation. And the Bucs have quietly been very good since their bye week. We like Eric Allen as a commentator. But as a prognosticator? If he dips below 0 in our scoring, we’ll be calling for relegation from the Experts picks page.

ESPN Experts Leaderboard – Week 10
-Everyone starts with 300 points.

+Seth Wickersham – 673
+Chris Mortensen – 594
+Adam Schefter – 325
+Merrill Hoge – 320
Keyshawn Johnson – 302
Ron Jaworski – 276
Mike Golic – 229
+Mark Schlereth – 215
Cris Carter – 203
+Mike Ditka – 171
+Tom Jackson – 130
Eric Allen – 83

Pickmoto is fun, quick, easy competition. It recreates the fantasy sports experience on mobile. Its first game for the 2012 NFL season is free for iPhone and iPad. Its second game for the NBA season just hit the AppStore.

Pickmoto asks the most basic question in sports – which teams will win. It’s pick’em with a twist: there’s a crowdsourced scoring system that rewards correct picks based on their popularity – the less popular, the more points.

Guest Blog: Pickmoto Rates the ESPN NFL Experts, Week 9

Editor’s note: This blog is a series from Pickmoto, a fantasy sports mobile app.

Week 9 featured four games that the ESPNers split evenly on: Dolphins-Colts, Bucs-Raiders, Steelers-Giants, and Eagles-Saints. It’s these close calls, these coin tosses that should offer the best opportunity for prognosticators to demonstrate superior insight.

And by that measure, Ron Jaworski was the top Expert Week 9. Actually, by any metric he was. He went 12-2 total, 4-0 in the close calls, and gained 43 points on our Pickmoto scoring system. Jaworski’s only misses were the Cowboys and RGIII over Cam, which all dozen had backwards.

Of course, The Colts and Steelers baaaaaaaarely won. But we’re not talking knuckles scraping the endzone or replacement ref fiascos. Jaws went a legitimate 4-0. He’s now closing in on the magic 300, the number a beagle should get if he made picks every week.
Elsewhere, the top 2 and bottom 2 put some distance between themselves and 300. Wickersham usually picks a big upset, but smartly passed this week. Mort went out a ledge with the Browns and Jaguars, but was strong enough with his other picks to still take home a positive number.

At the other end of things, Allen and Jackson both went 10-4, but their wins came in low point value games, so they fell even further behind. Allen, we like because of his work in the Bay Area. Jackson, we’ve been tuning out for years and now we have empirical proof why we should continue.

ESPN Experts Leaderboard – Week 9
-Everyone starts with 300 points.

+Seth Wickersham – 668
+Chris Mortensen – 576
Keyshawn Johnson – 333
Adam Schefter – 320
+Ron Jaworski – 279
Merrill Hoge – 277
+Mike Golic – 229
+Cris Carter – 226
+Mark Schlereth – 208
+Mike Ditka – 166
Eric Allen – 142
Tom Jackson – 125

Pickmoto is fun, quick, easy competition. It recreates the fantasy sports experience on mobile. Its first game for the 2012 NFL season is free for iPhone and iPad. Its second game for the NBA season just hit the AppStore.

Pickmoto asks the most basic question in sports – which teams will win. It’s pick’em with a twist: there’s a crowdsourced scoring system that rewards correct picks based on their popularity – the less popular, the more points.

Guest Post: Pickmoto Tracks the ESPN NFL ‘Experts’

(Editor’s note: This is a guest blog from the folks at Pickmoto, a fantasy sports mobile app.)

One thing that ESPN is right about with its “Experts” Picks is that predictions are, indeed, a skill. Week 8 is evidence of that. Only 4 Experts’ scores went up – Wickersham, Keyshawn, Schefter, Hoge – and (surprise), they are all in the Top 5. The bottom 7’s scores dropped.

Wickersham picked against the grain with 4 of his picks – Bucs, Lions, Colts, Cowboys – and was a knuckle away from nailing all 4. We particularly like his Bucs pick. Vikings stock hadn’t been higher all year. And the Bucs are better than their record: all four of their losses are by a touchdown or less. Classic case of an undervalued team against an overvalued team.

On the other end of the leaderboard, Allen and Jackson played it safe, save for their pick of the Redskins over the Steelers. Not a bad pick. The Redskins are playing better than expected and the Steelers worse. But at this point, when those 2 put their heads together, you know what’s going to happen.

Even though he’s third from last, Ditka deserves credit for being the lone ESPNer who tabbed the Browns and for going out on a limb with the Rams and Cowboys. If you are going to be an “Expert”, might as well offer some out of the box thinking.

Week 8 – ESPN Experts Leaderboard
-All players start with 300 points.

+Seth Wickersham – 660
Chris Mortensen – 563
+Keyshawn Johnson – 360
+Adam Schefter – 340
+Merrill Hoge – 288
Ron Jaworski – 236
Cris Carter – 220
Mike Golic – 208
Mark Schlereth – 187
Mike Ditka – 158
Eric Allen – 153
Tom Jackson – 126

Pickmoto is recreating the fantasy sports experience on mobile. Its first app for the 2012 NFL season is free for iPhone and iPad. Pickmoto asks the most basic question in sports – which teams will win. It’s pick’em with a twist: there’s a crowdsourced scoring system that rewards correct picks based on their popularity – the less popular, the more points.

Pickmoto’s 2nd app for the NBA season just hit the AppStore. Try it today.

Guest Blog: ESPN Experts Have a Good Week, says Pickmoto

(Editor’s note: This is a guest blog from the folks at Pickmoto, a fantasy sports mobile app.)

We were sorta mean to the ESPNers last week. We ridiculed their lack
of insight and mocked their label “Experts”. One week later, we have
to give credit where credit’s due. The Experts (no quotation marks)
killed it in Week 7.

On average, they went 11-2 and gained 29 points in Pickmoto. Among the
highlights, Seth Wickersham and Mike Golic were a perfect 13-0! Mark
Schlereth, Mike Ditka(!!), and Cris Carter went 12-1. Even Tom Jackson
picked up 9 points with a 9-4 week.

Now that we’ve duly doled out credit, we’re going to temper the
plaudits lest anyone thinks they’ve earned their title.

Picking well in a week with no real upsets is about as easy as it
gets. It’s not like they bucked conventional wisdom and were proven
prescient. They stuck to conventional wisdom and for one week looked
good. They only disagreed on a few games – Titans v. Bills, Browns v.
Colts, Steelers v. Bengals – none of which were premier matchups.

To really earn our respect (as if it’s worth earning), they need to
rally behind an underdog or call an evenly matched game between two
strong opponents e.g. 49ers-Bears. In other words, to earn their title
they need to demonstrate a level of insight beyond that of the
football fan public.

Til then, we’ll continue to give props to Wickersham, Mort, Keyshawn,
and Schefter. Everyone else had a good Week 7, but they’re a long way
from earning their label.

—–

ESPN Week 7 Leaderboard
-All players start with 300 points.

Seth Wickersham – 599
Chris Mortensen – 593
Keyshawn Johnson – 362
Adam Schefter – 336
Ron Jaworski – 255
Merrill Hoge – 251
Cris Carter – 246
Mike Golic – 217
Mark Schlereth – 216
Eric Allen – 199
Mike Ditka – 188
Tom Jackson – 129

—–

Pickmoto is recreating the fantasy sports
experience on mobile. Its first app for the 2012 NFL season is free
for iPhone and iPad. Pickmoto asks the most basic question in sports –
which teams will win. There is a crowdsourced scoring system that
rewards correct picks based on their popularity – the less popular,
the more points.

New! Pickmoto’s 2nd app for NBA hit the AppStore today.

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